Articles | Volume 1, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-1-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-1-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Jan 2020
Research article |
| 03 Jan 2020
| 03 Jan 2020
The characteristics and structure of extra-tropical cyclones in a warmer climate
Victoria A. Sinclair
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, P.O. Box 64, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
Mika Rantanen
Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, P.O. Box 64, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
Päivi Haapanala
Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, P.O. Box 64, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
Jouni Räisänen
Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, P.O. Box 64, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
Heikki Järvinen
Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research/Physics, Faculty of Science, P.O. Box 64, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
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Cited
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Assessing the Risk of Extreme Storm Surges from Tropical Cyclones under Climate Change Using Bidirectional Attention-Based LSTM for Improved Prediction V. Ian et al. 10.3390/atmos14121749
- Variability in Projected North American Mean and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Trends for the 21st Century: Model‐To‐Model Differences Versus Internal Variability M. Kelleher et al. 10.1029/2022EF003161
- Robust Expansion of Extreme Midlatitude Storms Under Global Warming P. Dai & J. Nie 10.1029/2022GL099007
- Aquaplanet simulations with winter and summer hemispheres: model setup and circulation response to warming S. Schemm & M. Röthlisberger 10.5194/wcd-5-43-2024
- A review of past changes in extratropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere and what can be learned for the future C. Raible et al. 10.1002/wcc.680
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- Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region A. Rutgersson et al. 10.5194/esd-13-251-2022
- An Assessment of Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones in ERA5 Using WindSat C. McErlich et al. 10.1029/2023JD038554
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- Projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport contributions associated with climate warming in the North Atlantic J. Fernández-Alvarez et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-41915-1
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- Future changes in winter explosive cyclones over the Southern Hemisphere domains from the CORDEX-CORE ensemble M. Reboita et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05867-w
- Evaluation of ERA5 precipitation and 10‐m wind speed associated with extratropical cyclones using station data over North America T. Chen et al. 10.1002/joc.8339
- Representation by two climate models of the dynamical and diabatic processes involved in the development of an explosively deepening cyclone during NAWDEX D. Flack et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-233-2021
- Extreme windstorms in the Northeastern USA in the contemporary and future climate X. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07012-1
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- Storm-Scale Dynamical Changes of Extratropical Transition Events in Present-Day and Future High-Resolution Global Simulations A. Michaelis & G. Lackmann 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0472.1
- Objective Algorithm for Detection and Tracking of Extratropical Cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere C. Padilha Reinke et al. 10.3390/atmos15020230
- Projected increase in windstorm severity and contribution from sting jets over the UK and Ireland C. Manning et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100562
- Swell Generation Under Extra‐Tropical Storms M. Hell et al. 10.1029/2021JC017637
- Warm conveyor belts in present-day and future climate simulations – Part 2: Role of potential vorticity production for cyclone intensification H. Binder et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-19-2023
- Future changes in North Atlantic winter cyclones in CESM-LE – Part 2: A Lagrangian analysis E. Dolores-Tesillos & S. Pfahl 10.5194/wcd-5-163-2024
- The life cycle of upper-level troughs and ridges: a novel detection method, climatologies and Lagrangian characteristics S. Schemm et al. 10.5194/wcd-1-459-2020
- Future changes in atmospheric synoptic variability slow down ocean circulation and decrease primary productivity in the tropical Pacific Ocean O. Duteil & W. Park 10.1038/s41612-023-00459-3
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- Rain triggers seasonal stratification in a temperate shelf sea J. Jardine et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38599-y
- Early 21st Century cyclone climatology: a 3D perspective.Basic Characterization S. Lakkis et al. 10.1002/joc.7056
- Storm track response to uniform global warming downstream of an idealized sea surface temperature front S. Schemm et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-601-2022
- Characteristics of extratropical cyclones and precursors to windstorms in northern Europe T. Laurila et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-1111-2021
- The Future of Midlatitude Cyclones J. Catto et al. 10.1007/s40641-019-00149-4
36 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the impact of global warming on windstorms in the northeastern United States using the pseudo-global-warming method J. Sethunadh et al. 10.1007/s11069-023-05968-1
- Electricity Load Lost in the Largest Windstorms—Is the Fragility-Based Model up to the Task? J. Jasiūnas et al. 10.3390/en16155678
- Assessing the Risk of Extreme Storm Surges from Tropical Cyclones under Climate Change Using Bidirectional Attention-Based LSTM for Improved Prediction V. Ian et al. 10.3390/atmos14121749
- Variability in Projected North American Mean and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Trends for the 21st Century: Model‐To‐Model Differences Versus Internal Variability M. Kelleher et al. 10.1029/2022EF003161
- Robust Expansion of Extreme Midlatitude Storms Under Global Warming P. Dai & J. Nie 10.1029/2022GL099007
- Aquaplanet simulations with winter and summer hemispheres: model setup and circulation response to warming S. Schemm & M. Röthlisberger 10.5194/wcd-5-43-2024
- A review of past changes in extratropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere and what can be learned for the future C. Raible et al. 10.1002/wcc.680
- Future changes in the extratropical storm tracks and cyclone intensity, wind speed, and structure M. Priestley & J. Catto 10.5194/wcd-3-337-2022
- Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region A. Rutgersson et al. 10.5194/esd-13-251-2022
- An Assessment of Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones in ERA5 Using WindSat C. McErlich et al. 10.1029/2023JD038554
- The relationship between extra-tropical cyclone intensity and precipitation in idealised current and future climates V. Sinclair & J. Catto 10.5194/wcd-4-567-2023
- Projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport contributions associated with climate warming in the North Atlantic J. Fernández-Alvarez et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-41915-1
- Changes in Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclone frequency following volcanic eruptions L. Andreasen et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad2c0e
- Extratropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and western Europe during the Last Glacial Maximum and implications for proxy interpretation J. Pinto & P. Ludwig 10.5194/cp-16-611-2020
- Improved Representation of Extratropical Cyclone Structure in HighResMIP Models M. Priestley & J. Catto 10.1029/2021GL096708
- Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate E. Gentile et al. 10.1038/s41612-023-00540-x
- Synoptic and Dynamical Characteristics of High-Impact Storms Affecting the Iberian Peninsula during the 2018–2021 Extended Winters A. Gonçalves et al. 10.3390/atmos14091353
- Present and Future Changes in Winter Cyclonic Activity in the Mediterranean–Black Sea Region in the 21st Century Based on an Ensemble of CMIP6 Models E. Voskresenskaya et al. 10.3390/atmos13101573
- Future changes in winter explosive cyclones over the Southern Hemisphere domains from the CORDEX-CORE ensemble M. Reboita et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05867-w
- Evaluation of ERA5 precipitation and 10‐m wind speed associated with extratropical cyclones using station data over North America T. Chen et al. 10.1002/joc.8339
- Representation by two climate models of the dynamical and diabatic processes involved in the development of an explosively deepening cyclone during NAWDEX D. Flack et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-233-2021
- Extreme windstorms in the Northeastern USA in the contemporary and future climate X. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07012-1
- Projected changes in extreme daily precipitation linked to changes in precipitable water and vertical velocity in CMIP6 models L. Gimeno-Sotelo et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107413
- Storm-Scale Dynamical Changes of Extratropical Transition Events in Present-Day and Future High-Resolution Global Simulations A. Michaelis & G. Lackmann 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0472.1
- Objective Algorithm for Detection and Tracking of Extratropical Cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere C. Padilha Reinke et al. 10.3390/atmos15020230
- Projected increase in windstorm severity and contribution from sting jets over the UK and Ireland C. Manning et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100562
- Swell Generation Under Extra‐Tropical Storms M. Hell et al. 10.1029/2021JC017637
- Warm conveyor belts in present-day and future climate simulations – Part 2: Role of potential vorticity production for cyclone intensification H. Binder et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-19-2023
- Future changes in North Atlantic winter cyclones in CESM-LE – Part 2: A Lagrangian analysis E. Dolores-Tesillos & S. Pfahl 10.5194/wcd-5-163-2024
- The life cycle of upper-level troughs and ridges: a novel detection method, climatologies and Lagrangian characteristics S. Schemm et al. 10.5194/wcd-1-459-2020
- Future changes in atmospheric synoptic variability slow down ocean circulation and decrease primary productivity in the tropical Pacific Ocean O. Duteil & W. Park 10.1038/s41612-023-00459-3
- Future changes in North Atlantic winter cyclones in CESM-LE – Part 1: Cyclone intensity, potential vorticity anomalies, and horizontal wind speed E. Dolores-Tesillos et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-429-2022
- Rain triggers seasonal stratification in a temperate shelf sea J. Jardine et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38599-y
- Early 21st Century cyclone climatology: a 3D perspective.Basic Characterization S. Lakkis et al. 10.1002/joc.7056
- Storm track response to uniform global warming downstream of an idealized sea surface temperature front S. Schemm et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-601-2022
- Characteristics of extratropical cyclones and precursors to windstorms in northern Europe T. Laurila et al. 10.5194/wcd-2-1111-2021
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 19 Apr 2024
Short summary
We studied how mid-latitude cyclones are likely to change in the future. We used a state-of-the-art numerical model and performed a control and a
warmexperiment. The total number of cyclones did not change with warming and neither did the average strength, but there were more stronger and more weaker storms in the warm experiment. Precipitation associated with the most extreme mid-latitude cyclones increased by up to 50 % and occurred in a more poleward location in the warmer experiment.
We studied how mid-latitude cyclones are likely to change in the future. We used a...
